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Basic Probability Theory

Basic Probability Theory

Basic Probability Theory

Master the essentials through 21 focused micro-lessons you can complete at your own pace.

21Modules
85Minutes
🎓Self-Paced
✅Free Access

What You’ll Learn

✓You will be able to distinguish between deterministic and random processes.
✓You will be able to construct sample spaces for various probability scenarios.
✓You will be able to compute the probability of simple events using ratios.
✓You will be able to verify if a probability assignment is mathematically valid.
✓You will be able to simplify calculations using the complement rule.
✓You will be able to calculate the union of disjoint events.
✓You will be able to apply the inclusion-exclusion principle for two events.
✓You will be able to calculate the probability of an event given another has occurred.
✓You will be able to use conditional probabilities to find intersection probabilities.
✓You will be able to prove whether two events are independent.
✓You will be able to find the overall probability of an outcome using weighted sums.
✓You will be able to calculate posterior probabilities using prior knowledge.

Course Modules

1
3 min

Understanding Random Experiments and Outcomes

Learn the definition of a random experiment and how to identify potential outcomes.

🏆 You will be able to distinguish between deterministic and random processes.

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2
4 min

Defining Sample Spaces and Events

Explore how to list all possible outcomes in a sample space.

🏆 You will be able to construct sample spaces for various probability scenarios.

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3
3 min

The Classical Approach to Probability

Calculate probability based on equally likely outcomes.

🏆 You will be able to compute the probability of simple events using ratios.

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4
4 min

Fundamental Axioms of Probability Theory

Study the core mathematical rules that govern all probability calculations.

🏆 You will be able to verify if a probability assignment is mathematically valid.

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5
3 min

Calculating Probabilities of Complementary Events

Understand how to find the probability of an event not occurring.

🏆 You will be able to simplify calculations using the complement rule.

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6
4 min

Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events

Learn to combine probabilities when events cannot happen simultaneously.

🏆 You will be able to calculate the union of disjoint events.

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7
5 min

General Addition Rule for Overlapping Events

Adjust probability calculations when events share common outcomes.

🏆 You will be able to apply the inclusion-exclusion principle for two events.

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8
4 min

Fundamentals of Conditional Probability

Analyze how the probability of an event changes given new information.

🏆 You will be able to calculate the probability of an event given another has occurred.

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9
4 min

Multiplication Rule for Dependent Events

Determine the joint probability of two sequential dependent events.

🏆 You will be able to use conditional probabilities to find intersection probabilities.

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10
3 min

Identifying and Testing Independent Events

Explore the mathematical criteria that define independence between two events.

🏆 You will be able to prove whether two events are independent.

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11
5 min

Applying the Law of Total Probability

Calculate the total probability of an event across several partitions.

🏆 You will be able to find the overall probability of an outcome using weighted sums.

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12
5 min

Using Bayes Theorem for Posterior Probability

Learn to update the probability of a hypothesis based on evidence.

🏆 You will be able to calculate posterior probabilities using prior knowledge.

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13
3 min

Introduction to Discrete Random Variables

Understand variables that take on a countable number of distinct values.

🏆 You will be able to identify discrete random variables in real-world data.

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14
4 min

Working with Probability Mass Functions

Map discrete outcomes to their respective probabilities using a PMF.

🏆 You will be able to construct and interpret a probability mass function.

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15
4 min

Calculating Expected Value for Discrete Variables

Determine the long-term average value of a random variable.

🏆 You will be able to compute the mean of a discrete probability distribution.

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16
5 min

Measuring Variance and Standard Deviation

Quantify the spread or dispersion of a random variable's values.

🏆 You will be able to calculate the variance and standard deviation of a distribution.

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17
5 min

The Binomial Distribution and Bernoulli Trials

Model experiments with only two possible outcomes and fixed trials.

🏆 You will be able to solve problems using the binomial probability formula.

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18
4 min

Modeling Rare Events with Poisson Distribution

Analyze the number of events occurring within a fixed interval.

🏆 You will be able to apply the Poisson distribution to count-based data.

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19
3 min

Introduction to Continuous Random Variables

Study variables that can take any value within a range.

🏆 You will be able to distinguish between discrete and continuous distributions.

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20
5 min

Understanding Probability Density Functions

Learn how to find probabilities for continuous variables using area.

🏆 You will be able to interpret the area under a PDF curve as probability.

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21
5 min

The Normal Distribution and Z-Score Calculation

Explore the bell-shaped curve and standardizing continuous data.

🏆 You will be able to calculate probabilities using Z-scores and normal tables.

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Ready to Start Learning?

Master Basic Probability Theory at your own pace. Begin with Module 1 and progress through all 21 modules.

Start Module 1